Stiff Arm Trophy

Heisman Projection: 97 ballots

Posted by Kari Chisholm on December 11, 2013 in News.

We've now tracked down 97 ballots, featuring a total of 235 votes. We're not prepared, at this time, to make a formal call as to the outcome. (Our fewest votes was in 2002, our first year, when we had just 127 ballots.)

The six finalists are now the top six in our vote count. Jameis Winston continues to dominate. In our previous vote count, Tre Mason, Andre Williams, and AJ McCarron were all clustered in second-place. Now, Tre Mason has pulled away into second-place by himself -- and Jordan Lynch has jumped into that cluster for third with Williams and McCarron.

There's a big gap between sixth-place Johnny Manziel and the guys above him; which doesn't make sense, given the rare invitation to six finalists.

We'll continue to track votes - and hope to get closer to 150 by week's end. So far, it's not quite the big surge of votes that we've seen in years past at this point in Heisman week.

The squeeze on the voters by the Heisman Trust is definitely impacting how many ballots we're seeing -- with far, far fewer columns being written in advance of the presentation. (Call me crazy, but killing off all the free publicity by hundreds of football columnists in this otherwise-dead week for college football can't be an effective marketing strategy.) We're also seeing a huge rise in the number of Heisman voters that ask me to keep their names off my list, even as they share their votes.

Keep those tips rolling in!

For the twelfth year in a row, we're going to attempt to project the outcome of the greatest individual award in sports, the Heisman Trophy. So far, we've been right eleven out of eleven years.

But to do this, we need your help. If you read/see/hear someone identify themselves as an official voter (with or without their vote), post a comment on our voter tips line or send us a note on Twitter (@stiffarmtrophy). If possible, provide a link (or at least tell us where you saw/heard/read it.)

Our latest projection

Last updated: 12/11/2013 5:44 a.m. Pacific. 97 ballots, 235 votes.

namefirstsecondthirdballotspointsProjectedProj%
J Winston743178229262294.2%
T Mason61611336163522.8%
J Lynch31113274444816.1%
AJ McCarron3129244243615.7%
A Williams3119234043215.5%
J Manziel05914191716.1%


B Petty0358111294.6%
D Carr1236101274.6%
K Carey01345672.4%
B Miller01456531.9%
T Bridgewater00333361.3%
B Sankey01012291.0%
C Hyde01012230.8%
K Burke01012160.6%
N Marshall01012160.6%
R Hageman00111110.4%
J Matthews00111110.4%
S Skov0011190.3%
M Mariota0011180.3%
A Robinson0011180.3%
A Donald0011170.3%

Got questions? Something look funny? Get answers and read about our methodology.

Have you heard an official voter declare their vote? Post your voter tips on StiffArmTrophy.com

View the complete list of the nearly 800 official Heisman voters that we know about.
Or check out The Big Chart, every single official Heisman vote that we've found this year.

Got questions? Read more about our methodology, and the results from 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012.