Stiff Arm Trophy

Heisman Projection: First numbers, 33 ballots

Posted on December 9, 2013 in News.

Wow. What a Heisman year it's been. Every week it seemed that there was a new batch of favorites. I've heard multiple voters say that they looked at a dozen or more possible candidates for their three ballot spots.

We're busily trying to track down publicly-declared Heisman votes, and there's precious few so far. Nonetheless, here's our first batch of numbers. We are a long, long way from having a complete projection - so hang tight, typically we have have a surge of declarations after the voting deadline passes. And that's tonight at 5 p.m. eastern.

Each of the last three years we've had just over 200 ballots tracked down by Friday night. This year, the Heisman Trust is putting the squeeze on voters not to disclose - causing some voters to resign their votes (and at least one major newspaper withdrew all of its voters from the Heisman voting.) But we still believe in transparency and accountability -- and that what we do is a net positive for the Heisman, helping build excitement for the Heisman.

For the twelfth year in a row, we're going to attempt to project the outcome of the greatest individual award in sports, the Heisman Trophy. So far, we've been right eleven out of eleven years.

But to do this, we need your help. If you read/see/hear someone identify themselves as an official voter (with or without their vote), post a comment on our voter tips line or send us a note on Twitter (@stiffarmtrophy). If possible, provide a link (or at least tell us where you saw/heard/read it.)

Our latest projection

Last updated: 12/9/2013 12:34 a.m. Pacific. 33 ballots, 58 votes.

J Winston19212262263094.5%
A Williams32051357720.7%
T Mason02681051618.5%
J Lynch12471137013.3%
AJ McCarron104571896.8%
D Carr100131585.7%
B Sankey010121053.8%
K Burke010121053.8%
K Carey002221053.8%
B Miller00222742.7%
J Manziel02024562.0%
M Mariota00111521.9%
A Donald00111271.0%

Got questions? Something look funny? Get answers and read about our methodology.

Have you heard an official voter declare their vote? Post your voter tips on

View the complete list of the nearly 800 official Heisman voters that we know about.
Or check out The Big Chart, every single official Heisman vote that we've found this year.

Got questions? Read more about our methodology, and the results from 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012.