Stiff Arm Trophy

Heisman Projection 2012: First numbers

Posted on December 2, 2012 in News.

Wow. What a Heisman race so far. There's no clear favorite this year - and it seems that there are two possible outcomes that would be historic.

We're busily trying to track down publicly-declared Heisman votes, and there's precious few so far. Nonetheless, here's our first batch of numbers. We are a long, long way from having a complete projection - so hang tight, we'll have a big explosion of numbers today since the deadline is Monday afternoon. (Last year, we had 231 ballots tracked, and 217 in 2010.)

For the eleventh year in a row, we're going to attempt to project the outcome of the greatest individual award in sports, the Heisman Trophy. So far, we've been right ten out of ten years.

But to do this, we need your help. If you read/see/hear someone identify themselves as an official voter (with or without their vote), post a comment on our voter tips line, share a note on our Facebook wall, or send us a note on Twitter (@stiffarmtrophy). If possible, provide a link (or at least tell us where you saw/heard/read it.)

Our latest projection

Last updated: 12/2/2012 2:04 a.m. Pacific. 10 ballots, 21 votes.

J Manziel611821126545.4%
M Te'o32161470025.1%
C Klein1034654319.5%
B Jones010121655.9%
B Miller011231374.9%

Got questions? Something look funny? Get answers and read about our methodology.

Have you heard an official voter declare their vote? Post your voter tips on

View the complete list of the 700+ official Heisman voters that we know about.
Or check out The Big Chart, every single official Heisman vote that we've found this year.

Got questions? Read more about our methodology, and the results from 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011.