Stiff Arm Trophy

Week 11: Andrew Luck stays on top; LaMichael James surges

Posted on November 18, 2011 in News.

Last weekend, the top two candidates in the Stiff Arm Trophy poll of Heisman voters both lost. The big question: would it affect the rankings?

The answer for Stanford QB Andrew Luck: No. Luck was on 97% of Heisman voters' watch lists (top seven) and kept his top spot in our poll. The answer for Boise State QB Kellen Moore: Yes. Moore dropped three spots from #2 to #5, and now only appears on 64% of top-seven watch lists.

The rest of the top four, each on 79-81% of top-seven lists, are Alabama RB Trent Richardson, Houston QB Case Keenum, and Oklahoma State QB Brandon Weeden. It's fair to call that a virtual dead heat for second place behind Luck.

Oregon RB LaMichael James is the second big mover this week, jumping up four spots from #10 to #6. James now appears on 59% of top-seven Heisman watch lists.

The rest of the top 12 is a bit scrambled, but with the same faces as last week: #7 Baylor QB Robert Griffin III, #8 Oklahoma QB Landry Jones, #9 Oklahoma St WR Justin Blackmon, #8 Wisconsin QB Russell Wilson, #11 USC QB Matt Barkley, and #12 LSU DB Tyrann Mathieu.

48 actual Heisman voters from 26 states participated in this week's StiffArmTrophy.com poll. The poll asked voters to share an unranked top-7 "watch list" for the Heisman Trophy.

rankplayerweighted%votesprev
1Stanford QB Andrew Luck97%461
2Alabama RB Trent Richardson80%393
3Houston QB Case Keenum79%384
4Oklahoma St QB Brandon Weeden78%395
5Boise St QB Kellen Moore64%282
6Oregon RB LaMichael James59%3010
7Baylor QB Robert Griffin III42%227
8Oklahoma QB Landry Jones38%196
9Oklahoma St WR Justin Blackmon37%199
10Wisconsin QB Russell Wilson23%118
11USC QB Matt Barkley16%711
12LSU DB Tyrann Mathieu15%712

With votes coming from multiple states, players are ranked based on a weighted percentage that adjusts for the number of participating voters in each state.

Here's the regional breakdown:

rankplayerAtlanticMidwestNortheastSouthSouthwestWest
1Stanford QB Andrew Luck100%100%100%100%84%100%
2Alabama RB Trent Richardson71%87%60%88%76%100%
3Houston QB Case Keenum85%62%100%77%84%66%
4Oklahoma St QB Brandon Weeden85%75%60%100%84%66%
5Boise St QB Kellen Moore71%75%100%33%38%66%
6Oregon RB LaMichael James71%62%20%88%61%50%
7Baylor QB Robert Griffin III57%25%20%55%61%33%
8Oklahoma QB Landry Jones28%37%40%22%53%50%
9Oklahoma St WR Justin Blackmon71%25%20%11%61%33%
10Wisconsin QB Russell Wilson14%50%20%22%15%16%
11USC QB Matt Barkley14%0%20%22%7%33%
12LSU DB Tyrann Mathieu14%12%20%0%15%33%

Participating voters included:

Mid-Atlantic: Frank Bodani, Josh Kendall, Chuck Landon, Bob Molinaro, Keith Morehouse, Matthew Osborne, Doug Smock

Midwest: Andy Baggot, Randy Beard, Mike Carmin, Doug Clarke, Pete DiPrimio, Todd Hefferman, Jeff Rapp, Jon Spencer

Northeast: Cory McCartney, Rick McGowan, Chuck Pollock, Lenn Robbins, B.J. Schecter

South: Brady Ackerman, Rick Bozich, Olin Buchanan, John Crist, Joe Girvan, Cecil Hurt, Joey Johnston, Phillip Marshall, Billy Reed

Southwest: Kirk Bohls, Jimmy Burch, Sean Callahan, David Collier, Suzanne Halliburton, John Helsley, Gary Ivins, Josh Kinder, Harry King, Reid Laymance, Bob Lutz, Dave Matter, David McCollum

West: Mark Anderson, Steve Bisheff, Mike Lewis, Eric Schmoldt, Kevin Schnepf, Scott Wolf


About Stiff Arm Trophy

Since 2002, we've correctly projected the winner of every single Heisman Trophy contest. Starting in 2010, we're running a season-long Heisman Trophy poll, providing ongoing commentary, and aggregating the best news about the top Heisman candidates around the country.

When it comes to our projections, well, we really can't say it any better than ESPN's Neil Everett - just a few days before the 2009 winner was announced: