Stiff Arm Trophy

Week 7: Top six break away - finalist list emerging?

Posted on October 22, 2011 in News.

Every week, another Heisman candidate takes his turn alongside Stanford QB Andrew Luck in the top two. This week, it's Boise State QB Kellen Moore's turn. Moore returns to the #2 spot after a three-week absence.

More notably, we have in week 7 the emergence of a top tier that's substantially ahead of the rest of the pack. The top six Heisman candidates have top-10 support from more than 85% of the 48 Heisman voters surveyed. After Luck and Moore, the rest of the top tier are Oklahoma QB Landry Jones, Wisconsin QB Russell Wilson, Baylor QB Robert Griffin III, and Alabama RB Trent Richardson.

The seventh-place candidate, Houston QB Case Keenum, is way back - with top 10 support from just 57% of Heisman voters (but moving up two spots from #9.) Oklahoma States's WR Justin Blackmon and QB Brandon Weeden, and LSU DB Tyrann Mathieu fill out the rest of the top ten, each moving up three spots from last week.

Michigan QB Denard Robinson plunged among Heisman voters, dropping seven spots from #4 to #11. Last week, he appeared on 89% of Heisman watch lists - but only on 38% this week. Oregon RB LaMichael James also dropped big - five spots from #8 to #13. And South Carolina RB Marcus Lattimore dropped out, having climbed to #10 before his season-ending injury last week.

Texas A&M QB Ryan Tannehill slipped into the top 15 this week at #15, returning to the ranking for the first time since week 3 (when he was #20.)

Also dropping out this week were Alabama LB Dont'a Hightower, USC WR Robert Woods, Arkansas QB Tyler Wilson, West Virginia QB Geno Smith, Notre Dame WR Michael Floyd.

Note: This week, we asked Heisman voters for a top 10 watch list. As a result, the Stiff Arm Trophy ranking is down to a top 15 ranking.

48 actual Heisman voters from 27 states participated in this week's poll. The poll asked voters to share an unranked top-10 "watch list" for the Heisman Trophy.

1Stanford QB Andrew Luck100%481
2Boise St QB Kellen Moore96%463
3Oklahoma QB Landry Jones93%452
4Wisconsin QB Russell Wilson90%435
5Baylor QB Robert Griffin III86%427
6Alabama RB Trent Richardson85%426
7Houston QB Case Keenum57%289
8Oklahoma St WR Justin Blackmon44%2011
9Oklahoma St QB Brandon Weeden38%1812
10LSU DB Tyrann Mathieu38%2013
11Michigan QB Denard Robinson37%164
12Clemson QB Tajh Boyd37%1814
13Oregon RB LaMichael James35%198
14Oklahoma WR Ryan Broyles25%1315
15Texas A&M QB Ryan Tannehill13%6--

Regional breakdown and list of participating voters on the jump...

With votes coming from multiple states, players are ranked based on a weighted percentage that adjusts for the number of participating voters in each state.

Here's the regional breakdown:

1Stanford QB Andrew Luck100%100%100%100%100%100%
2Boise St QB Kellen Moore100%87%100%90%100%100%
3Oklahoma QB Landry Jones71%100%100%90%100%100%
4Wisconsin QB Russell Wilson100%87%80%90%83%100%
5Baylor QB Robert Griffin III100%75%80%90%91%83%
6Alabama RB Trent Richardson100%75%80%100%91%66%
7Houston QB Case Keenum57%62%80%60%66%16%
8Oklahoma St WR Justin Blackmon42%25%60%30%41%66%
9Oklahoma St QB Brandon Weeden42%37%40%30%33%50%
10LSU DB Tyrann Mathieu14%37%20%60%50%50%
11Michigan QB Denard Robinson42%37%60%20%16%50%
12Clemson QB Tajh Boyd57%37%40%30%41%16%
13Oregon RB LaMichael James28%62%0%40%50%33%
14Oklahoma WR Ryan Broyles14%12%40%10%58%16%
15Texas A&M QB Ryan Tannehill14%25%0%10%0%33%

Participating voters included:

Mid-Atlantic: Frank Bodani, Doug Doughty, Phil Kornblut, Chuck Landon, Keith Morehouse, Matthew Osborne, Keith Sargeant

Midwest: Andy Baggot, Randy Beard, Mike Carmin, Doug Clarke, Todd Hefferman, Jeff Rapp, Drew Sharp, Jon Spencer

Northeast: Cory McCartney, Rick McGowan, Chuck Pollock, Lenn Robbins, B.J. Schecter

South: Sean Baligian, Rick Bozich, Olin Buchanan, Joe Girvan, Cecil Hurt, Joey Johnston, Phillip Marshall, Joshua Parrott, Billy Reed, Bob Tompkins

Southwest: Kirk Bohls, Jimmy Burch, Sean Callahan, David Collier, Suzanne Halliburton, Gary Ivins, Josh Kinder, Harry King, Reid Laymance, Bob Lutz, Dave Matter, Mike'l Severe

West: Mark Anderson, Roxy Bernstein, Steve Bisheff, Mike Lewis, Eric Schmoldt, Kevin Schnepf