Stiff Arm Trophy

Heisman Projection: 124 ballots

Posted by Kari Chisholm on December 8, 2010 in News.

We're now up to 124 ballots (with 325 votes). Andrew Luck has now moved ahead of LaMichael James for second place - though it's basically a tie at this point, just a few projected points apart.

Those 124 ballots represent 13% of the vote. Regionally, we're now up to 30% of the voters in the South and 20% of the voters in the Midwest. (And yes, we adjust our projections to account for the regional disparity.)

Cam Newton appears on 115 of the 124 ballots we've tracked - and is #1 on 108 of the ballots. He is currently a unanimous #1 choice in the Southwest region (roughly, Big-12 country). He is also a unanimous #1 among the six former Heisman winners who've declared a top choice. (Steve Spurrier is a seventh former winner on our chart, says Newton is on his ballot, but won't disclose his ballot order - on principle.) Newton is doing the worst in the Midwest (Big-10 country) - where a full 24% of the voters either don't rank him at all, or have him below the #1 spot.

For the ninth year in a row, we're going to attempt to project the outcome of the greatest individual award in sports, the Heisman Trophy. We've been right eight out of eight years.

But to do this, we need your help. If you read/see/hear someone identify themselves as an official voter (with or without their vote), post a comment on our voter tips line, share a note on our Facebook wall, or send us a note on Twitter (@stiffarmtrophy). If possible, provide a link (or at least tell us where you saw/heard/read it.)

Our latest projection

Last updated: 12/8/2010, 6:57 a.m. Pacific. 124 ballots, 325 votes.

namefirstsecondthirdballotspointsProjectedProj%
C Newton10843115335240986.7%
A Luck630256110379728.7%
L James140286911179328.5%
K Moore32113376449517.8%


J Blackmon1371116863.1%
D Robinson125812772.8%
C Kaepernick00444281.0%
T Taylor00333230.8%
R Kerrigan00222210.8%
P Peterson01234150.5%
J Todman00111130.5%
O Marecic10013100.4%
DQ Bowers0011190.3%
M Leshoure0011170.3%
T Pryor0011170.3%
M Lattimore0101260.2%
N Solder0101260.2%
R Mallett0022260.2%
S Acho0011130.1%
C Harris0011130.1%
N Fairley0011130.1%

Have you heard an official voter declare their vote? Post your voter tips on StiffArmTrophy.com

View the complete list of the 600+ official Heisman voters that we know about.
Or check out The Big Chart, every single official Heisman vote that we've found this year.

Got questions? Read more about our methodology, and the results from 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009.