Stiff Arm Trophy

Heisman Projection: 98 ballots

Posted by Kari Chisholm on December 7, 2010 in News.

Here's our latest numbers, updated overnight. We're now up to 98 ballots (with 261 votes) - which is over 10% of all the ballots. (In our first year, we had 128 ballots - so we've still got a ways to go before we're entirely comfortable.)

LaMichael James is still ahead of Andrew Luck for the #2 spot - though the gap has narrowed since yesterday afternoon.

For those who are wondering whether Cam Newton will be the biggest Heisman winner ever, that's not going to be the case, unless something dramatically changes. He does, however, appear to be hovering right around third-highest vote total of all time (behind Reggie Bush and Troy Smith - each of whom had well-documented run-ins with eligibility questions.)

I should note that we were, of course, right about the four finalists announced yesterday -- which wasn't a surprise, but a nice interim validation of our process.

For the ninth year in a row, we're going to attempt to project the outcome of the greatest individual award in sports, the Heisman Trophy. We've been right eight out of eight years.

But to do this, we need your help. If you read/see/hear someone identify themselves as an official voter (with or without their vote), post a comment on our voter tips line, share a note on our Facebook wall, or send us a note on Twitter (@stiffarmtrophy). If possible, provide a link (or at least tell us where you saw/heard/read it.)

Our latest projection

Last updated: 12/6/2010, 4:28 a.m. Pacific. 98 ballots, 261 votes.

namefirstsecondthirdballotspointsProjectedProj%
C Newton873292269242287.2%
L James13419549079928.8%
A Luck42421498176827.6%
K Moore21613315151318.5%


D Robinson125812963.5%
J Blackmon116811682.4%
C Kaepernick00333260.9%
T Taylor00222271.0%
R Kerrigan00111170.6%
J Todman00111170.6%
P Peterson01123140.5%
O Marecic10013120.4%
M Leshoure0011190.3%
T Pryor0011190.3%
M Lattimore0101280.3%
N Solder0101280.3%
R Mallett0022280.3%
S Acho0011140.1%
C Harris0011140.1%
N Fairley0011140.1%

Have you heard an official voter declare their vote? Post your voter tips on StiffArmTrophy.com

View the complete list of the 600+ official Heisman voters that we know about.
Or check out The Big Chart, every single official Heisman vote that we've found this year.

Got questions? Read more about our methodology, and the results from 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009.