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Sports Illustrated: Stewart Mandel: Ranking the top 10 freshman seasons with Heisman barrier likely to fall

If the straw polls are to be believed, the 77-year-old Heisman Trophy will get its first-ever freshman winner on Saturday night. The freshman barrier has existed for so long that you can understand why some won't believe Johnny Manziel can win the award until he's actually up on stage at the ceremony.

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About Stiff Arm Trophy

Since 2002, we've correctly projected the winner of every single Heisman Trophy contest. Starting in 2010, we're running a season-long Heisman Trophy poll, providing ongoing commentary, and aggregating the best news about the top Heisman candidates around the country.

When it comes to our projections, well, we really can't say it any better than ESPN's Neil Everett - just a few days before the 2009 winner was announced:

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