Stiff Arm Trophy

ESPN: 'Heisman Predictor' ranks Luck third

ESPN.com's Heisman Predictor, which uses a formula created by Ryan McCrystal, has published its latest Heisman Trophy rankings, and the only Pac-12 player on the list is Stanford quarterback Andrew Luck at No. 3.

Michigan quarterback Denard Robinson is No. 1 and Wisconsin quarterback Russell Wilson is No. 2.

McCrystal has only missed predicting the Heisman Trophy once since he started his system, so what we can guess is that Robinson shortly will tumble on this list.

Iron-clad guarantee: Robinson won't win the Heisman Trophy unless his passing numbers improved dramatically.

Robinson is the nation's 39th-rated passer. He's completed just ...

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About Stiff Arm Trophy

Since 2002, we've correctly projected the winner of every single Heisman Trophy contest. Starting in 2010, we're running a season-long Heisman Trophy poll, providing ongoing commentary, and aggregating the best news about the top Heisman candidates around the country.

When it comes to our projections, well, we really can't say it any better than ESPN's Neil Everett - just a few days before the 2009 winner was announced: