Stiff Arm Trophy

Heisman Projection: 165 ballots

Posted on December 6, 2012.

I know I promised you just one more update today - but we've actually got a small interim update before tonight's big update. The Scripps-Howard Heisman Poll - the longest-running in this biz (with 21 of the last 25 called right) - is out. We haven't fully deconstructed it yet, but we've got five of their voters already listed, so five more first-place votes in the can (three for Manziel, two for Te'o.)

Update: I realized that two of the unknown voters were actually named in the accompanying story, with their first-place ballots. So, we've updated these numbers to reflect those votes.

One more late-night update today, and then a final update and a formal call on Friday morning.

For the eleventh year in a row, we're going to attempt to project the outcome of the greatest individual award in sports, the Heisman Trophy. So far, we've been right ten out of ten years.

But to do this, we need your help. If you read/see/hear someone identify themselves as an official voter (with or without their vote), post a comment on our voter tips line, share a note on our Facebook wall, or send us a note on Twitter (@stiffarmtrophy). If possible, provide a link (or at least tell us where you saw/heard/read it.)

Our latest projection

Last updated: 12/6/2012 1:14 p.m. Pacific. 165 ballots, 438 votes.

J Manziel953220147369222379.8%
M Te'o485914121276161958.2%
C Klein10336510816196234.6%

M Lee411318271766.3%
B Miller131216211214.3%
J Lynch12259531.9%
M Ball10235260.9%
T Austin00444210.8%
J Jones00333170.6%
A McCarron00222160.6%
B Jones01123150.5%
J Clowney01123140.5%
M Mariota01123130.5%
L Jones00111130.5%
K Carey0011170.3%
S Taylor0011170.3%
K Barner0011160.2%
B Rambo0011140.1%

Got questions? Something look funny? Get answers and read about our methodology.

Have you heard an official voter declare their vote? Post your voter tips on

View the complete list of the 700+ official Heisman voters that we know about.
Or check out The Big Chart, every single official Heisman vote that we've found this year.

Got questions? Read more about our methodology, and the results from 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011.